Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 7.891029 9.320603 10.895861 12.755013 14.883528 17.238455 20.035010
2025-01-26 6.113755 8.051704 10.387548 13.387341 17.112123 21.557835 27.235406
2025-02-02 4.957079 7.150704 9.997704 13.911445 19.091783 25.647000 34.491678
2025-02-09 4.198315 6.550448 9.801493 14.531962 21.130042 29.881949 42.217196
2025-02-16 3.455468 5.802090 9.239988 14.507722 22.207970 32.855394 48.444028
2025-02-23 2.783131 5.017148 8.477629 14.044598 22.544442 34.753961 53.256635
2025-03-02 2.237195 4.321164 7.726846 13.464322 22.588265 36.163484 57.394253
2025-03-09 1.913785 3.933307 7.394922 13.467837 23.472243 38.813836 63.458934
2025-03-16 1.657421 3.614849 7.125123 13.521434 24.408516 41.572218 69.824711
2025-03-23 1.432186 3.311567 6.833639 13.490239 25.178743 44.094143 75.950036
2025-03-30 1.180423 2.906670 6.297313 12.957001 25.036876 45.121196 79.748544
2025-04-06 1.026832 2.675754 6.052944 12.915033 25.719600 47.512363 85.850115
2025-04-13 0.890190 2.460016 5.816508 12.875765 26.429329 50.042018 92.420964
2025-04-20 0.840667 2.436635 5.969206 13.605738 28.601821 55.210920 103.719252
2025-04-27 0.780827 2.376611 6.035359 14.166822 30.499024 60.012124 114.652465
2025-05-04 0.732480 2.335932 6.136827 14.806669 32.589914 65.272282 126.648387
2025-05-11 0.644086 2.170946 5.934987 14.784952 33.384324 68.236782 134.764218
2025-05-18 0.541136 1.941361 5.547559 14.315015 33.238050 69.453810 139.813860
2025-05-25 0.447742 1.715057 5.130661 13.725288 32.784940 70.049308 143.741963
2025-06-01 0.396234 1.603541 4.982544 13.728941 33.558631 73.004978 152.135822
2025-06-08 0.353235 1.508560 4.862576 13.783465 34.439758 76.210234 161.142408
2025-06-15 0.312093 1.408937 4.714469 13.751753 35.126015 79.063444 169.610974
2025-06-22 0.258979 1.250772 4.377164 13.209533 34.629210 79.516912 173.488500